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Construction

Maps: A breakdown of the third-party maps the Redistricting Board adopted

The Alaska Redistricting Board adopted four third-party draft maps, in addition to their own two draft maps, to consider for Alaska’s new legislative districts. Redistricting happens every ten years per the Alaska Constitution. The board must adopt a final map by November 10.

This article focuses on the four third-party maps the board adopted. We previously published an article that analyzed the impact of the board’s two maps.

The board adopted draft maps from the following groups:

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AGC
  1. Doyon Coalition (Doyon, Tanana Chiefs Conference, Fairbanks Native Association, Sealaaska, Ahtna)
  2. Alaskans for Fair and Equitable Redistricting (Randy Ruedrich, former Alaska Republican Party chair)
  3. Alaskans For Fair Redistricting (Joelle Hall, Alaska AFL-CIO president)
  4. Alaska Senate Minority Caucus (Anchorage Democratic Senator Tom Begich)

We created an interactive map for the third-party maps that shows incumbents and potential challengers. For now, maps only include House incumbents due to issues with the map files. We are working on getting that added. The board’s two draft map versions do not yet include Senate pairings. You can see the third-party maps here. (The map is optimized for desktop use).

The colors of the districts correspond to how the districts voted in the 2020 presidential election. If you click on a district, it will tell you the estimated percentage that Biden or Trump won by. You can toggle between the different versions and include incumbents and potential challengers that have filed letters of intent to date. We will add challengers as they file.

 

Doyon Coalition

Paired incumbents:

  1. District 8: Representatives Ben Carpenter (R – Nikiski), Ronald Gillham (R – Soldotna)
  2. District 10: Representatives Tom McKay (R – Anchorage), Chris Tuck (D – Anchorage)
  3. District 16: Representatives Harriet Drummond (D – Anchorage), Matt Claman (D – Anchorage)
  4. District 24: Representative DeLena Johnson (R – Palmer), Ken McCarty (R – Eagle River)
  5. District 35: Representatives Grier Hopkins (D – Fairbanks), Steve Thompson (R – Fairbanks)

 

 

Open Seats:

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DOC
  1. District 7: Kenai/Soldotna [Trump +44.74%]
  2. District 11: Anchorage (Spenard/Midtown) [Biden +9.13%]
  3. District 18: Anchorage (Russian Jack/College Gate) [Biden +8.10%]
  4. District 30: Bogard/Palmer [Trump +44.41%]
  5. District 33: Fairbanks: Steele Creek/Fort Wainwright [Trump +36.36%]

 

 

Alaskans for Fair and Equitable Redistricting (AFFER)

Paired incumbents:

  1. District 2: Representatives Dan Ortiz (I – Ketchikan), Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D – Sitka)
  2. District 3: Representatives Sara Hannan (D – Juneau), Andi Story (D – Juneau)
  3. District 13: Representatives David Eastman (R – Wasilla), Christopher Kurka (R – Wasilla)
  4. District 16: Representatives DeLena Johnson (R – Palmer), George Rauscher (R – Sutton)
  5. District 25: Representatives Andy Josephson (D – Anchorage), Ivy Spohnholz (D – Anchorage)
  6. District 32: Representatives Laddie Shaw (R – Anchorage), Ben Carpenter (R – Nikiski)

 

 

Open Seats:

  1. District 1: Southeast (Ketchikan/Petersburg/Wrangell)  [Trump +25.93%]
  2. District 4: Southeast (Haines/Skagway/Mendenhall Valley) [Biden +18.65%]
  3. District 11: Houston/Willow/Denali/ [Trump +44.42%]
  4. District 15: Palmer [Trump +40.26%]
  5. District 21: Anchorage (Russian Jack/JBER) [Biden +4.67%]
  6. District 33: Sterling/Seward/Hope [Trump +39.98%]

 

 

Alaskans For Fair Redistricting (AFFR)

Paired incumbents:

  1. District 8: Representatives Ben Carpenter (R – Nikiski), Ronald Gillham (R – Soldotna)
  2. District 11: Representatives Laddie Shaw (R – Anchorage), Tom McKay (R – Anchorage)
  3. District 16: Representatives Harriet Drummond (D – Anchorage), Matt Claman (D – Anchorage)
  4. District 24: Representatives Kelly Merrick (R – Eagle River), Ken McCarty (R – Eagle River)
  5. District 28: Representatives DeLena Johnson (R – Palmer), George Rauscher (R – Sutton)
  6. District 34: Representatives Grier Hopkins (D – Fairbanks), Mike Prax (R – North Pole)

 

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Blueprint

Open Seats:

  1. District 7: Kasilof/Ninilchilk [Trump +45.21%]
  2. District 9: South Anchorage/Girdwood/Cooper Landing [Trump +0.46%]
  3. District 19: Anchorage (Mountain View/JBER) [Biden +11.70%]
  4. District 23: Arctic Valley/South Eagle River [Trump +26.16%]
  5. District 27: Palmer [Trump +38.31%]
  6. District 35: North Pole [Trump +49.92%]

 

 

Alaskans Senate Minority Caucus

Paired incumbents:

  1. District 7: Representatives David Eastman (R – Wasilla), Christopher Kurka (R – Wasilla)
  2. District 22: Representatives Harriet Drummond (D – Anchorage), Chris Tuck (D – Anchorage)
  3. District 23: Representatives Matt Claman (D – Anchorage), Zack Fields (D – Anchorage)
  4. District 29: Representatives Ben Carpenter (R – Nikiski), Ronald Gillham (R – Soldotna)

 

 

Open Seats:

  1. District 10: Willow/Denali/Talkeetna [Trump +44.01%]
  2. District 19: Anchorage (Mountain View) [Biden +23.01%]
  3. District 21: Anchorage (Midtown/JBER) [Biden +26.16%]
  4. District 30: Kenai/Soldotna [Trump +44.59%]

 

 

Here is a breakdown of the partisan balance for all of the maps. This is based on the 2016 presidential election, the 2018 gubernatorial election, and the 2020 presidential election. District competitiveness is a composite measurement of all three races.

 

The board is holding meetings around the state to get public comment on all the draft maps. You can see a list of locations and dates here.

Robert Hockema is a campaign specialist and political organizer in Anchorage, Alaska. He graduated from UAA’s Political Science program in 2019, and has worked for candidates up and down the ballot and across the political aisle. Robert loves Alaska history and geomapping elections on Twitter.

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12 days ago

Fascinating. Thanks for this helpful analysis

Anchorage Educator
11 days ago

This is a thoughtful analysis and breakdown. Thank you.